The Data and Common Sense Says It’s Time to Let Others See Your Smile

For the sake of discussion, pretend that masks actually matter in the spread of Covid. How much difference would they make, quantitatively?

Well, first you need to know the prevalence. If no one is sick there’s nothing to stop. So, for the sake of discussion, let’s assume a high number, let’s say 1%. One in 100 people are sick with Covid.

Someone sick with Covid is likely to be at home in bed for most of their illness. So let’s say that one in the 10 days they might be contagious they are around other people and potentially contagious.

I don’t know about you, but I don’t typically kiss every person I bump into in the grocery store. In other words, just because a person is contagious, doesn’t mean they will actually spread it to someone else. For the sake of discussion, let’s assume that if a person is contagious they could potentially spread it to one in ten of the people they interact with.

Let’s run the numbers so far: 1% x 10% x 10% = one in ten thousand people it might make a difference on any given day.

And by “might make a difference” we are talking if you have a comorbidity of one in twenty odds that you could hospitalized, and one in 140 that you could die from Covid.

So, even with a comorbidity, we are talking one in 200,000 the chance of hospitalization, and one in a million the chance of death.

Geeze, the “vaccine” is 500 times riskier than that.

And these numbers are far smaller for younger people, and people using any modicum of common sense.

And for this, we are littering the oceans with billions of pieces of plastic (far worse than straws), causing depression, loss of businesses, suicides, drug overdoses, and ill health in our population, and propagating an atmosphere of malaise across our society.

Quantitatively, the general use of masks sounds like a dumb idea to me.

But it’s a free country… at least it used to be.

Wear one if you like.

But I’d rather see that lovely smile of yours.

from a public post on MeWe : FOLLOW THE DATA WITH DR FRANK